New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream prediction, pick for Sunday 6/29/25

The New York Liberty, after a 9-0 start, have lost momentum, winning only two of their next six games for a 2-4 record since June 14. They face another tough challenge on the road against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday, a rematch of a recent game won by New York at home.

New York is favored by 3.5 points, with the total points line set at 165.5. Despite the Liberty's recent struggles, the author believes it's not time to panic as the team is built to win a championship. However, they need to start beating top teams like the Dream. New York secured an 86-81 victory over Atlanta on June 17, led by Sabrina Ionescu's 34 points, offering hope for this second matchup.

Although Atlanta didn't play poorly in that loss and even out-shot New York from three-point range, a free-throw disparity contributed to their defeat. The Dream enter Sunday's game on a two-game losing streak, having lost three of their last five games, but remain one of the WNBA's top teams and pose a significant threat to the Liberty.

The author predicts the Liberty will settle in and return to form, potentially starting a strong path forward against the Dream. New York already demonstrated the ability to beat Atlanta recently, even without strong three-point shooting. While playing on the road makes it harder, the Liberty are still favored, and despite recent struggles, the reigning champions retain plenty of confidence.