Sun vs. Storm Prediction, Odds, Best WNBA Prop Bets for Friday, July 11

The Seattle Storm suffered an unexpected loss to the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday night, ending the Sun's 10-game losing streak and improving their record to 3-16 in the 2025 season.

The Storm are now favored by 17 points at home against the Sun on Friday, seeking their 13th win. Despite the Storm's recent double-digit loss to the low-ranked Sun (last in the WNBA in key categories), the article recommends a specific betting approach.

The analyst highlights Nneka Ogwumike's rebound prop bet as a favorite play. Ogwumike cleared her rebound total (12 boards) against the Sun on Wednesday, and a similar performance is expected Friday against Connecticut, the league's worst team in offensive rating and rebounding percentage. Ogwumike averages 8.0 rebounds per game and has recorded at least seven in her last four games.

The article also strongly recommends betting the OVER on the game's total points (set at 158). This is based on the teams' two previous high-scoring matchups this season (176 points Wednesday, 178 points June 27), their poor defensive rankings (Connecticut 13th, Seattle 8th in defensive rating), and Seattle's strong offensive ranking (6th in offensive rating, 4th in effective field goal percentage). The analyst believes the Sun can stay competitive against the spread and that the potential for high scoring makes the UNDER unlikely.

The final betting pick is OVER 158 points (-110 at DraftKings).